Natus Vincere vs Monte Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick

Expert CS2 prediction for Natus Vincere vs Monte — our pick is Natus Vincere with 70% confidence. Result: prediction was correct.

ESL Pro League › Season 23 2026 › Stage 2

FINISHED View Match →

Natus Vincere

WON ✓ CORRECT

2 — 1

FINAL

BO3

Monte

✅

Our Prediction

Natus Vincere to win · CORRECT ✓

Confidence

70%

Analytics Summary

Now the ESL Pro League really begins. The best teams come along to the tournament, and the underdogs have warmed up and prepped. Navi has had a bit of time to focus on training, tactics and studying their opponents. The skill difference here is huge, even though Monte has been a pleasant surprise so far in the ESL CS2 Pro League. Monte did shock NaVi in the first tournament of the year BLAST Bounty, but Aleksib and boys are ready for a revenge. The two teams have a different map pools, so this might go to the third map. Our CS2 betting prediction: Natus Vincere CS2 moneyline at 1.38 odds. Side pick Over 2.5 maps.

Team Analysis

Natus Vincere

🥇 WON ✅ CORRECT

✅ Strengths

+1. Better map pool than the win rates suggest.
+NaVi hold a 77% win rate on Ancient across 13 maps and a 38% win rate on Inferno across 8 maps, making these two of the strongest maps in the entire tournament field. Normally NaVi is better, and the rates should go up pretty soon.
+2. Higher global ranking & stronger roster depth
+NaVi sit around #8 globally, while Monte hover around #30u2013#43, showing a clear skill gap.
+3. Revenge motivation & proven BO3 strength
+Monte upset NaVi earlier this year at BLAST Bounty, but NaVi won their last ESL Pro League meeting 2u20130 with convincing scorelines (16u201312 Anubis, 16u201310 Mirage).

⚠️ Weaknesses

−1. Inconsistent recent form
−NaVi have a 50% win rate in the last month, including three losses in their last five matches.
−2. Weakness on Mirage
−Only a 22.2% win rate on Mirage across nine maps in the last three months u2014 a map Monte may target.
−3. Vulnerable to aggressive teams
−Monteu2019s fast entries and pressure-heavy style have historically troubled NaVi (Monte lead the headu2011tou2011head 2u20131 in recent meetings).

Monte

✅ Strengths

+1. Strong recent form
+Monte have won 8 of their last 10 matches, showing excellent momentum.
+2. Proven ability to upset NaVi
+Monte beat NaVi 2u20131 at BLAST Bounty earlier this year and 2u20130 at the Paris Major in 2023.
+3. Good on NaViu2019s weak maps
+Monte are comfortable on maps like Anubis and Mirage u2014 both maps where NaVi have shown vulnerability.

⚠️ Weaknesses

−1. Lower overall skill ceiling
−NaViu2019s roster (b1t, iM, w0nderful) has significantly higher peak firepower than Monteu2019s current lineup.
−2. Map pool disadvantage
−NaViu2019s Ancient and Inferno are extremely difficult for Monte to contest.
−3. Historically weaker in lateu2011tournament stages
−Monte often start strong but struggle against topu201110 teams in playoffu2011level matches.